Since losing in a number one contender bout to Hermes Franca, Fisher has mostly remained in the lower half of the lightweight division’s rankings. In his last four fights, he has compiled a relatively unimpressive 1-3 record, including a stoppage loss to Joe Stevenson, and a controversial decision win against Caol Uno. Most recently, Fisher lost to Ross Pearson in what was primarily a standup contest, and with a loss here, Fisher will likely be cut by the UFC.
Spencer Fisher Vs Thiago Tavares Odds;
After losing a competitive decision to Tyson Griffin, many believed Thiago Tavares would be a future star of the lightweight division. These dreams were smashed when he was badly knocked out by Matt Wiman, and he’s never really lived up to the expectations set for him. Most recently, Tavares was dominating Shane Roller in the standup and defending all of his takedown attempts, before being brutally knocked out with a right hand. Like Fisher, Tavares needs a win, or he could be cut from the promotion.
Here are two well rounded guys who were at the middle of the pack of the lightweight division a few years ago, but now are both very close to the bottom. Both have shown improvements in their game throughout their respect UFC tenures, however those improvements have not been able to match the skills brought in by the new blood.
Neither fighter is a particularly great wrestler, and both have competent takedown defense. For that reason, I think the majority of this fight will play out on the feet. The reality is, there isn’t enough evidence out there to believe one fighter will dominate the other standing. Tavares looked great against Roller, but Roller isn’t much of a striker. Conversely, Fisher looked way better than most expected against Pearson, lost a competitive decision to Dennis Siver, and beat Sam Stout.
The Spencer Fisher vs Thiago Tavares prediction is that the two engage in primarily a standup battle, with Fisher doing just enough to edge a close decision. This prediction is really a lot of guesswork, as it’s very difficult to predict what kind of gameplan either fighter will have, and how exactly their skill sets match up against each other. With that said, the +180 line on Fisher makes no sense. Nobody can really be confident picking either fighter here, but at +180, Fisher has to be worth a tiny play.
Conclusion: Fisher outstrikes Tavares to win a close decision, and while there’s little certainty in that prediction, at +180 it’s worth a tiny play.
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