Rousimar Palhares entered the UFC with a ton of hype as a leglock specialist. After quickly submitting Ivan Salaverry in his debut, he was given a huge step up in competition against Dan Henderson. Palhares would lose a competitive decision to Henderson, and bounced back with three straight wins leading into a contender eliminator with Nathan Marquardt. Palhares would lose to Marquardt in a bizarre finish while looking to the referee for assistance, and since that disappointment he has returned with a win over Dave Branch. While he’s quite a few wins away, many believe Palhares will eventually see a UFC title shot.
Latest Rousimar Palhares Vs Dan Miller Betting Odds;
Palhares – (-275) @ Bodog.Com
Miller – (+215) @ Bodog.Com
After beginning his UFC career with three straight wins, Dan Miller strung together three straight losses against the division’s elite in Chael Sonnen, Damien Maia, and Michael Bisping. Miller was able to bounce back with two straight losses, however most recently he was defeated by top middleweight Nate Marquardt in a one sided fight. Miller needs a win to stay relevant, and may be cut from the promotion with a loss.
The Demian Maia fight with Dan Miller is going to contradict what I’m about to say, but generally there is this idea that when two grapplers fight, it often turns into a standup fight (which the Maia vs Miller fight was). However in the case of Palhares and Miller, both of whom are grapplers, I feel pretty strongly that this fight will be a grappling fight. Palhares has fought superior grapplers in the UFC in Branch and Linhares, and Palhares still brought both fights to the ground.
If this fight stays standing, it’s really anyone’s guess as to what happens, since neither fighter has displayed any real standup ability. If it goes to the ground however, one has to think Palhares has a massive edge. David Branch trained with John Danaher to specifically avoid the leglocks of Palhares, and Palhares was still able to catch him. One has to think if Palhares was able to finish a grappler of the caliber of Branch that he can do the same to miller.
The Rousimar Palhares vs Dan Miller prediction is that Palhares quickly brings the fight to the ground, and leglocks Miller. It’s possible that Miller keeps the fight standing and outstrikes Palhares, and it’s possible that Palhares loses a decision chasing submissions. With that said, Palhares has submitted far superior grapplers before, and one has to think he gets the job done here. The price is steep at -275, but it’s worth a medium sized bet, as Miller’s only real tool is his grappling, and he has no hope of imposing it here.
Conclusion: Rousimar Palhares is the vastly better grappler, and since Miller’s best strength is grappling, a small play on the -275 line is warranted.
Bet On Rousimar Palhares Vs Dan Miller Odds Now @ Bodog.Com!
