This is a major welterweight contender eliminator between one man who is coming off a one sided loss to the champion, and another on the rise who has put together an impressive four fight winning streak in the promotion.
Latest Jake Shields Vs Jake Ellenberger Odds;
Shields – (-200) @ Bodog.Com
Ellenberger – (+160) @ Bodog.Com
Jake Shields presents a fairly unique stylistic challenge for anyone he faces. He possesses seemingly very rudimentary striking ability, but he has relentless takedowns, and is very good at securing submissions from the top position.
Ellenberger is not particularly known for his technical striking, however he is also a very strong wrestler, and undoubtedly possesses a lot more power in his strikes than Shields.
The general consensus here is that this fight comes down to whether Shields can get Ellenberger to the ground. Personally, I feel Shields has fought superior wrestlers in the likes of Jason Miller, and arguably Dan Henderson. Further, Ellenberger was controlled on the ground for the whole first round in his fight against Carlos Eduardo Rocha, who himself was thrown around by Kris Mccray. One has to think based on this information that Shields should be able to get Ellenberger down.
Also of note, as bad as Shields’ striking appears to be, it really is not as bad as people make it out to be. He looked fine in the striking with Robbie Lawler, and outside of the Dan Henderson fight, which may be a credit to Shields’ chin, Shields has never really been hurt.
An Ellenberger knockout is not out of the question, but the Jake Shields vs Jake Ellenberger prediction is that Shields manages to drag Ellenberger to the ground, secures Ellenberger’s back, and finishes him with a choke.
The Jake Shields Vs Jake Ellenberger Betting Odds show that Shields is the deserved favourite entering the octagon. Following on from our Jake Shields Vs Jake Ellenberger fight prediction we feel that Shields is good value at the -165 mark (bet $165 to win $100). If the Jake Shields Vs Jake Ellenberger Odds change you should adjust your bet accordingly. Anywhere around -200 (bet $200 to win $100) a smaller bet should be placed, or you may feel a bet isn’t warranted.
Conclusion: Jake Shields should be able to get this to the ground and at -200 (available at Bodog.Com) a small to medium sized bet is recommended.
Update 17th September: Shields was available previously at -165. Hopefully you managed to lock these odds in early, as at present the Jake Shields Vs Jake Ellenberger Odds have Shields listed at -200.