Dong Hyun Kim is undefeated professionally, and holds a 5-0 record in the UFC with one no contest. (The no contest was originally a close decision loss to Karo Parisyan, however it was later overturned.) Kim’s striking has slowly improved throughout his UFC tenure, however all of his wins have come by imposing his takedowns and ground control. Most recently, Kim defeated Nate Diaz by winning the first two rounds on takedowns before fading late, however it was enough to keep his undefeated record alive. With a win, Kim will likely be one more win away from a title shot.
Latest Carlos Condit vs Dong Hyun Kim Odds;
Carlos Condit – (-105) @ Bodog.Com
Dong Hyun Kim - (-115) @ Bodog.Com
Carlos Condit originally made a name for himself by upsetting Frank Trigg in the Rumble on the Rock promotion, and entered the UFC as the reigning WEC champion. His UFC debut saw him lose a close split decision against Martin Kampmann, and in his subsequent two fights he would win in thrilling comebacks against Jake Ellenberger and Rory Macdonald. Most recently, he pushed his win streak to three by knocking Dan Hardy out cold in the first round in a moderate upset. With a win here, he will probably be one win away from a title shot.
This is a big welterweight contender eliminator, and is a very tough fight to call. Kim is a fantastic grappler and has shown excellent fight IQ in both his fights and interviews, and one can easily see this fight going the same way his last few contests have gone. On the other hand, Condit is easily the biggest step up of Kim’s career, and poses a few problems that Kim has not yet faced.
In the striking department, it’s hard to give the edge to Kim. His strikes have looked wild, while Condit has shown both technique and power. Every second this fight on the feet is going to be advantageous to Condit.
In terms of wrestling, it would be a huge shock if Kim was unable to take Condit down, and many expect Kim to be able to take Condit down at will. Condit’s wrestling has always been a big question mark, although personally I think that he showed improved wrestling against Macdonald and Ellenberger. For that reason, I believe Kim will eventually score the takedown in this fight, but that he will have to work for it.
In terms of jiujitsu, the slight advantage has to go to Condit, but Kim has shown excellent posture inside the guard in all of his fights, and it’s tough to imagine Condit actually being able to submit him. If Condit gets taken down, he needs to use his jiujitsu to stand back up where he can take advantage of his superior striking.
Ultimately, I think this fight is going to be a very close mirror of the fight between Macdonald and Condit. I think Kim will rack up the points early, but fade late as he has done in several of his fights, just as Condit pours it on. However, the question will be whether Condit will be able to finish the faded Kim, or whether Kim will be able to hold on and win a razor close decision.
The Dong Hyun Kim vs Carlos Condit prediction is that Kim survives the late onslaught by Condit to take the close decision, however there are simply way too many variables to recommend a play at -120 odds. Condit has the better striking, the better jiujitsu, is more experienced, has better cardio, and is the biggest step up of Kim’s career.
Conclusion: The pick is Dong Hyun Kim by close decision, but with the current Carlos Condit vs Dong Hyun Kim Odds only a small play on Dong Hyun Kim is recommended.
The Best Carlos Condit vs Dong Hyun Kim Odds;
Carlos Condit – (-105) @ Bodog.Com
Dong Hyun Kim - (-115) @ Bodog.Com