After a heavyweight surge, Vera moved down to light heavyweight where most expected big things from him.  Instead, he has shown tons of inconsistency, with close decision losses to Randy Couture and Keith Jardine, and one sided beatdowns at the hands of Thiago Silva and Jon Jones.  With that said, he’s still considered an elite level fighter.

Brandon Vera vs Eliot Marshall Odds;

Brandon Vera – (-450) @ Bodog.Com
Eliot Marshall – (+335) @ Bodog.Com

Marshall appeared on season 8 of TUF, and was inexplicably cut from the UFC after going 3-1 in the promotion.  Earlier this year he was brought back on short notice against Luiz Cane, and Marshall was knocked out very quickly.

Analyzing this fight stylistically, Marshall is a jiujutsu guy, and Vera is a striker.  The problem for Marshall is that Vera is probably the better wrestler and jiujitsu guy as well, and should have no problem keeping this standing and knocking him out.

The Brandon Vera vs Eliot Marshall prediction is that Vera easily knocks Marshall out in the first half of the fight.  The -450 price is however a big hurdle, and as big of a lock as I think he is, one should never be happy about laying down at that kind of price, especially given Vera’s inconsistency.

Conclusion:  A Vera knockout seems like a formality, but at -450, there’s simply no value.