Since unexpectedly losing to Jason Day in 2008, Alan Belcher has been on a tear in the UFC, going 4-1, with his lone loss coming via very controversial split decision to Yoshihiro Akiyama.

Latest Alan Belcher Vs Jason Macdonald Odds;

Belcher – (-275) @ Bodog.Com
Macdonald – (+215) @ Bodog.Com

Jason Macdonald is a UFC veteran who was cut from the promotion in 2009, but was brought back for its Canadian shows at UFC 113 and 129, and has gone 1-1.

I have been notably bad at picking fights for both of these fighters, however I strongly believe that Jason Macdonald is overmatched here.  Alan Belcher likely holds a huge striking advantage, and Macdonald lacks the wrestling to bring this fight to the ground.

The Alan Belcher vs Jason Macdonald prediction is that Belcher keeps the fight standing and picks apart Macdonald leading to a second round stoppage.  Further, Macdonald lacks the knockout power to get lucky with one big shot, and really his only likely way of winning is submitting Belcher from the guard.  The odds are steep at -275, but this is a bad matchup for Macdonald, and a small to moderate play is warranted on Belcher.

Conclusion:  One should never be happy about playing a fighter at -275, but Alan Belcher should be able to keep it standing and knock Jason Macdonald out.